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First Withdrawal of the Season Moves Prices Up

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The EIA announced the first storage withdrawal of the season, which is about a week earlier than expected. A 2 Bcf withdrawal was reported for the week ending Nov. 18 compared to a range of forecasts between -1 to +15. The storage report is therefore bullish and the entire forward curve is up following the release. Prompt month (Dec16) is currently trading up 6 cents and back to the $3 level at $3.04/MMBtu, at time of writing.

U.S. storage inventories are relatively unchanged week-on-week at 4.045 Tcf, which is 39 Bcf higher than this time last year and 241 Bcf higher than the 5-year average.

storageinventories_winterview_11-23-2016

Changes in weather patterns will continue to drive price volatility throughout the winter. Despite the current cold front we’re experiencing across most of the US, temperatures in the Midwest...

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